Hong Leong Upgrades VELESTO to Buy After 50% Slump; NAGA 3 Secures PETRONAS Contract
StockTipRatings ·
Hong Leong Investment Bank analyst Thye May Ting upgraded Velesto Energy to “Buy” from “Hold”, raising her target price to RM0.20 from RM0.19, implying 14.3% upside. Following a share-price decline of more than 50% since early April 2026, she believes much of the downside is already reflected in valuations. A projected 2.5-sen annual dividend, equivalent to a 13.9% yield, brings the estimated total return to approximately 28%.
Velesto secured a PETRONAS Carigali contract to deploy its NAGA 3 drilling rig for one firm well and one optional well, with operations expected to begin in November. Thye assumes a three-month campaign extending into January 2027 at US$90,000 per day. The additional contribution prompted her to raise 2026 and 2027 core-profit forecasts by approximately 7% and 6%, to RM108 million and RM137.8 million, respectively.
Thye nevertheless expects regional drilling rates to remain subdued as international rigs entering Southeast Asia intensify competition. Her upgrade reflects improved valuation and dividend appeal rather than an anticipated near-term recovery in charter rates. NAGA 3 also remains a potential disposal candidate following its previously terminated sale.
As of 9:13 a.m. on November 5, Velesto Energy’s share price fell 2.8% to RM0.175.
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The call: Hong Leong on VELESTO ENERGY BERHAD
- Rating
- Buy
- Target price
- RM 0.200 (from RM 0.190)
Thye May Ting's 12-month track record
No.9 of 16 analysts at Hong Leong
- Success rate
- 53%
- Average return
- 10%
- Stocks covered
- 12
Consensus target price for VELESTO
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